Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Food for Thought: Govt Withholding Plummets

The government runs on taxes, and despite all the happy talk and statistics presented to the contrary, government tax receipts are dropping like a rock. This is true at the federal, state, and local level, and portends some very difficult decisions in the next 12-18 months.

From zerohedge:
February was not an auspicious start to Obama's record budget deficit-busting plans. The Daily Treasury Statement for the full month of February was just released, and it disclosed that while corporate tax withholdings, net of refunds, actually climbed marginally to $3.4 billion from $(3.4) billion in February 2009, individual tax withholdings plunged to a multi-year low of $30.7 billion. Combined, the two items also posted a multi low of $34 billion, less than the previous recent low from February 2009 when the first leg of the Greater Depression was allegedly at its zenith (see chart below). We can't wait to hear how the "recession is over" brigade will paint this particular data point.

Here's the monthly data:


And here's the trend over the past 18 months using a rolling 12-month average (to smooth variations):


The government keeps spending -- even looking for new ways to spend -- in the face of this sort of revenue trend. Deficits have nowhere to go but up, and with them, interest rates.

1 comment:

  1. Good read. Tax receipts are dropping like a rock. What does that tell you? It tells me no one is working. This 10% unemployment is pure BS. I would say the real unemployment in Michigan is 25percent.