Sunday, March 14, 2010

Social Security to start cashing Uncle Sam's IOUs

Well, it had to happen eventually... Social Security payments now exceed income (taxes) and it is time to start cashing in all those trust-fund IOUs.

For more than two decades, Social Security collected more money in payroll taxes than it paid out in benefits — billions more each year.
Not anymore. This year, for the first time since the 1980s, when Congress last overhauled Social Security, the retirement program is projected to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes — nearly $29 billion more.
Sounds like a good time to start tapping the nest egg. Too bad the federal government already spent that money over the years on other programs, preferring to borrow from Social Security rather than foreign creditors. In return, the Treasury Department issued a stack of IOUs — in the form of Treasury bonds — which are kept in a nondescript office building just down the street from Parkersburg's municipal offices.
Now the government will have to borrow even more money, much of it abroad, to start paying back the IOUs, and the timing couldn't be worse. The government is projected to post a record $1.5 trillion budget deficit this year, followed by trillion dollar deficits for years to come.

It's the perfect storm: Employment weak, folks "retiring" early after losing their jobs, basic demographics catching up with the Ponzi scheme. Should make for a very interesting next 5-10 years.

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